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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  dooby3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,909 | +$217 +2.4% | 20 |
| 297d |  NxbYid | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,303 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 300d |  VegemiteLover2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,812 | +$22 +0.2% | 20 |
| 303d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,062 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 311d | pol764 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $17,594 | −$457 −2.6% | — |
| 318d |  ScottyNooo | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,716 | −$16 −0.9% | — |
| 320d |  0xbadbeef2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,777 | −$25 −0.9% | — |
| 329d |  Arlette | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,354 | −$53 −1.6% | — |
| 331d | pol764 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,646 | +$127 +1.9% | 20 |
| 340d |  GobiDesertCanoePro2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,740 | −$173 −2.6% | — |
| 345d | dooby2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,567 | −$163 −2.5% | — |
| 347d | 0xcd7a…aae92 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,244 | +$33 +1.5% | 20 |
| 349d |  DEGENKHAN3 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,629 | +$147 +2.6% | 20 |
| 354d |  Sybau13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$36 −2.6% | — |
| 359d |  Goopster | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,247 | −$145 −2.8% | — |
| 372d |  Trumputin | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,984 | −$181 −3.6% | — |
| 373d | keluyifu | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | −$41 −3.9% | — |
| 373d | keluyifu | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,073 | +$33 +3.0% | 20 |
| 375d |  TylerTurden | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | −$27 −2.4% | — |
| 383d | raybaebae | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,628 | −$103 −3.9% | — |
| 384d | GobiDesertCanoePro | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,819 | +$181 +3.1% | 20 |
| 384d | Arlette | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,630 | +$112 +3.1% | 20 |
| 384d | Goopster | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,053 | +$211 +4.2% | 20 |
| 401d | inrock303 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $25,763 | +$1,394 +5.4% | 20 |
| 401d |  0x547889b207c980f660774D06CD5Ca144377A014 | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,043 | −$210 −6.9% | — |
| 402d |  SirHarryOakes5 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,374 | −$491 −6.7% | — |
| 406d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,695 | −$108 −6.4% | — |
| 410d | SkillzThatKillz | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$78 −7.5% | — |
| 414d |  TheKinginYellow | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | −$96 −6.4% | — |
| 420d |  paddaa | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,159 | −$89 −7.7% | — |
| 424d | TheKinginYellow | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,350 | +$150 +6.4% | 20 |
| 424d | DBomb | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,210 | −$279 −8.7% | — |
| 439d |  Anjun2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,918 | +$561 +8.1% | 20 |
| 448d | brian992 | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,520 | +$306 +8.7% | 20 |
| 458d | raybaebae | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,540 | +$191 +7.5% | 20 |
| 459d | Changer321 | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $8,677 | +$755 +8.7% | 20 |
| 460d | 1.3m | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | −$189 −9.9% | — |
| 461d | 1.3m | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,931 | +$168 +8.7% | 20 |
| 468d | poligott | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $4,105 | −$456 −11% | — |
| 471d | TerreMoto | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,132 | +$570 +11% | 20 |
| 472d | poligott | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,030 | +$498 +12% | 20 |
| 476d | NeH6 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $42,941 | −$5,674 −13% | — |
| 478d |  Donkov | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,808 | +$179 +9.9% | 20 |
| 478d | tryingout1 | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,275 | +$225 +9.9% | 20 |
| 478d |  Funfzig | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,625 | −$572 −12% | — |
| 479d | Radahn-1316 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $13,455 | −$1,581 −12% | — |
| 483d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,792 | −$421 −11% | — |
| 483d | 1029das2 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,062 | +$340 +11% | 20 |
| 483d |  scrooge | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | −$152 −12% | — |
| 486d | NeH4 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $57,272 | +$6,368 +11% | 20 |
| 487d | Radahn-131 | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $15,874 | +$1,532 +9.7% | 20 |
| 487d |  Carry1 | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 20 |
| 487d | SkillzThatKillz | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$111 +11% | 20 |
| 487d | Funfzig | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,453 | +$658 +19% | 20 |
| 487d | DBomb | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,996 | +$493 +16% | 20 |
| 488d | Sybau13 | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$191 +15% | 20 |
| 488d | stxticpanic | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,469 | +$1,469 +100% | — |
| 488d |  MisTKy32 fills | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,864 | +$644 +17% | 20 |
| 492d |  Car | Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,392 | +$428 +18% | 20 |
Carry126,248 shares
Hadi112,762 shares
Witnoutinternet3,315 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran between June 18 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of June 18, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.