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Polymarket wallet 0x80442849608f093ffb31c556d63f4cab2d99215e · on Polymarket since Nov 2, 2024 · also shown as Granular-Bottling
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 11 | 46¢ → 66¢ | $7 | +$2 +42% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| East African countries agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119d | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes22¢ | $5 |
| 153d | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BuyYes46¢ | $5 |
| 160d | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo12¢ | $5 |
| 325d | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes19¢ | $5 |
| 349d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes71¢ | $5 |
| 364d | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? | BuyNo46¢ | $5 |
| 420d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes81¢ | $5 |
| 445d | Will GPT-5 be released by August 10? | BuyYes77¢ | $5 |
| 588d | East African countries agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before July? | BuyYes6¢ | $2 |
| 686d | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December? | BuyYes17¢ | $10 |
| 700d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? | BuyYes90¢ | $79 |
| 712d | Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024? | BuyYes12¢ | $5 |
| 721d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes5¢ | $6 |
| 721d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo42¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.