Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 100% | +9 pts | +80 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| February 28 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 15 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | +1 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| May 31 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 22 | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 19 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31, 2025 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| July 31 | 100% | +3 pts | +59 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 15 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 26 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| August 31 | 100% | +3 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| October 31 | 100% | +3 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 23 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 21 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 25 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 24 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123d | 0xc978…aa84 | July 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,046 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | buoys | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,307 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 123d |  WarriorPooh2 fills | June 22 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $10,910 | −$578 −5.3% | — |
| 123d | Spasiba | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,653 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | Tappy512 | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,649 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | 0xC81b7D9F4464C9985f5621492829ahdfc | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,497 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 123d |  testiclepulveriser2 fills | June 30 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $7,143 | −$1,022 −14% | — |
| 123d |  ydxistheking | July 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,692 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 123d |  zxdfbdfgngcxv | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 124d | 0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff | July 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,284 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 124d | Stami1 | June 22 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,715 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 124d | 0x4422…5362 | June 22 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,697 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 124d | matteoo | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,416 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 124d |  StarMaster | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,987 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 124d |  zb8 | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,885 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 124d | Trustinghorse4 fills | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $96,428 | +$181 +0.2% | 4 |
| 124d | IDontLikeRisk | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 124d | 23449 | June 26 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,043 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 124d | 0x8931…a90c | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 124d | zb8 | June 26 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,163 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 124d | zb8 | June 25 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,324 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 124d |  themagicofcinema | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,576 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 124d | Trustinghorse3 fills | June 26 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,677 | +$55 +0.3% | 4 |
| 124d | 23449 | June 26 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,022 | +$20 +0.4% | 4 |
| 124d | Mustafalafel | June 22 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,314 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 124d |  kinderSman | June 24 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,087 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 124d | zb8 | June 23 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,710 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 124d |  probability | June 25 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,741 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 124d | kukubaja5 fills | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $42,027 | +$96 +0.2% | 4 |
| 124d | Trustinghorse | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,235 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 124d | kukubaja3 fills | June 22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,655 | +$23 +0.1% | 4 |
| 124d | StarMaster3 fills | June 30 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $6,971 | +$529 +7.6% | 4 |
| 124d | Alhemic | June 22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,945 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 124d | probability | June 26 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,005 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 124d |  Hakei. | June 22 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,299 | +$25 +0.2% | 4 |
| 124d |  thx4playing2 fills | June 22 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $10,147 | +$699 +6.9% | 5 |
| 124d |  Ahpo | June 22 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,015 | +$75 +1.1% | 4 |
| 124d | kinderSman | June 22 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$50 +1.4% | 4 |
| 124d | Paul9739732 fills | July 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $7,000 | +$214 +3.1% | 4 |
| 124d |  Tigerofthehood | June 22 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,907 | +$43 +2.3% | 5 |
| 124d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96042 fills | June 26 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,562 | −$268 −7.5% | — |
| 124d | Trustinghorse2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,325 | +$56 +0.9% | 4 |
| 124d |  CherryB16 | June 22 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,668 | −$62 −2.3% | — |
| 124d |  aenews22 fills | June 22 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,439 | +$132 +1.4% | 4 |
| 124d | silent | June 22 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,969 | +$31 +1.6% | 5 |
| 124d | tinman2 | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$24 +1.2% | 4 |
| 124d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604 | June 23 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,299 | −$71 −3.1% | — |
| 124d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96046 fills | June 30 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $10,755 | −$1,375 −13% | — |
| 124d | zb82 fills | June 30 | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $7,733 | +$9,738 +126% | 6 |
| 124d | zb86 fills | June 22 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,273 | +$377 +3.7% | 5 |
| 124d | 0x8931…a90c | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,186 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 124d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96045 fills | August 31 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,404 | −$378 −3.6% | — |
| 124d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA960410 fills | July 31 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $18,660 | −$1,182 −6.3% | — |
| 124d |  Investnow | June 30 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,277 | −$135 −2.2% | — |
| 124d | aenews2 | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$16 +0.9% | 4 |
| 124d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | October 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,648 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 124d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b043 fills | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,317 | +$40 +0.3% | 4 |
| 124d | IDontLikeRisk | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,020 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 124d | CrazyBang | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$12 +0.9% | 4 |
| 124d | CrazyBang | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
pugdev101,598 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between February 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 100%.