Safe-Ephemera

Polymarket wallet 0x80469b86f9ffbff048da43c4d5ec7e914cfb6ea0 · on Polymarket since Jun 16, 2026

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$12K
Volume traded: $353K
All-time rank: #3,203,639
Markets traded: 108
Recent hit rate: 34%17 of last 50 closed

Open positions

42 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	250	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2,400	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$34 −100%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,111	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	5,508	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,432 −100%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,500	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	3,503	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$385 −100%
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	7,295	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,915 −100%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	4,106	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	682	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$30 −100%
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	598	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$90 −100%
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	3,071	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,056	37¢ → 0¢	$0	−$771 −100%
Will France win on 2026-07-18?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,851	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$485 −100%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	909	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	2,357	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$377 −100%
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,272	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$477 −100%
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	2,000	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$600 −100%
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	756	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$38 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,500	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,941	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Settled - ready to redeem	Argentina	4,553	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$911 −100%
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	870	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem	Norway	1,140	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$171 −100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,218	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$170 −100%
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	1,036	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$373 −100%
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	1,714	35¢ → 0¢	$0	−$600 −100%
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	1,819	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$577 −100%
Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	369	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,880	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$88 −100%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,429	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	4,841	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$93 −100%
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Settled - ready to redeem	Over	17,901	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4,876 −100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	556	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	7,472	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1,943 −100%
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,429	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,305	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$287 −100%
Raphinha: 1+ goalsSettled - ready to redeem	Yes	411	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$55 −100%
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,687	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$455 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?Settled - ready to redeem	No	5,870	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$466 −100%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,041	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,388	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$400 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
45d	Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?	BuyYes21¢	$496
45d	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Buy16¢	$357
62d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	BuyUp1¢	$5
62d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	BuyUp1¢	$5
62d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	BuyUp2¢	$5
62d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	BuyUp1¢	$5
62d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	BuyUp2¢	$5
62d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	BuyUp2¢	$5
62d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	BuyUp10¢	$5
62d	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?	BuyYes8¢	$21
96d	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	BuyYes26¢	$1,985
97d	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	BuyYes17¢	$505
98d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17?	BuyNo8¢	$496
99d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	BuyUp1¢	$5
99d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	BuyUp1¢	$5
99d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	BuyUp1¢	$5
100d	England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	SellArgentina>99¢	$2,991
100d	England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance	BuyArgentina56¢	$1,730
100d	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	SellYes75¢	$1,726
100d	Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	BuyYes37¢	$1,692
100d	England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5	SellOver11¢	$425
100d	England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5	SellOver26¢	$1,270
100d	England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5	BuyOver21¢	$926
100d	England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5	BuyOver39¢	$2,060
101d	France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 AND Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Buy10¢	$800
101d	France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Buy14¢	$283
104d	Norway vs. England: Team to Advance	BuyNorway15¢	$178
104d	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	SellYes>99¢	$3,169
104d	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BuyYes54¢	$570
104d	Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5	SellOver15¢	$567
104d	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	BuyYes45¢	$992
104d	Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5	SellOver25¢	$976
104d	Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5	BuyOver35¢	$2,890
104d	Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shots on target AND Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Buy9¢	$100
105d	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	BuyYes26¢	$1,485
105d	Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?	BuyYes15¢	$94
106d	France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5	BuyOver27¢	$4,982
108d	Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Buy25¢	$1,089
108d	Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	SellOver>99¢	$7,747
108d	Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5	SellOver>99¢	$2,242
108d	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	SellYes3¢	$7
108d	Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5	BuyOver27¢	$619
108d	Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5	BuyOver49¢	$3,858
108d	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?	BuyYes8¢	$206
108d	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BuyYes14¢	$205
108d	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?	BuyYes11¢	$103
109d	Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?	BuyYes2¢	$95
109d	Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?	BuyYes3¢	$103
109d	Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?	BuyYes5¢	$103
110d	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	BuyYes27¢	$465
110d	Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5	BuyOver30¢	$613
110d	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	BuyYes9¢	$51
110d	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?	BuyYes2¢	$51
110d	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?	BuyYes7¢	$103
110d	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?	BuyYes3¢	$51
110d	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 England?	SellYes>99¢	$2,628
110d	Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5	SellOver>99¢	$1,577
110d	Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5	SellOver>99¢	$1,096
110d	Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5	BuyOver19¢	$213
110d	Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5	BuyOver38¢	$611

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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