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Polymarket wallet 0x80835de8098d6747c82473f69e6592b8c5b9f2ab · on Polymarket since Jul 13, 2025 · also shown as Pale-Deliberation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 632 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$360 −100% |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,694 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$800 −100% |
| Israel military action against Iran in July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 925 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 462d | Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday? | BuyNo57¢ | $360 |
| 462d | Another Israel strike on Yemen in July? | BuyNo44¢ | $300 |
| 463d | Another Israel strike on Yemen in July? | BuyNo49¢ | $500 |
| 463d | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellNo92¢ | $928 |
| 463d | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo35¢ | $350 |
| 463d | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellNo39¢ | $1,298 |
| 464d | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo60¢ | $2,000 |
| 465d | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyYes16¢ | $150 |
| 465d | Israel military action against Iran in July? | SellNo85¢ | $2,876 |
| 465d | Israel military action against Iran in July? | BuyNo87¢ | $2,940 |
| 465d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | SellNo56¢ | $1,535 |
| 468d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | SellNo94¢ | $1,404 |
| 472d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | BuyNo34¢ | $938 |
| 472d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | BuyNo57¢ | $850 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.