Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 462d |  PredictionYogi10 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $20,815 | +$14,226 +68% | 22 |
| 462d |  UwO | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,242 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 462d |  CubaLibra | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$24 +2.0% | 20 |
| 462d | IAmNotBot | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,932 | +$68 +3.5% | 20 |
| 463d | JSoon | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,898 | +$102 +3.5% | 20 |
| 463d | PredictionYogi2 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $4,819 | −$2,294 −48% | — |
| 463d | truthlord2 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,375 | −$202 −4.6% | — |
| 463d | truthlord3 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $7,325 | +$6,017 +82% | 25 |
| 463d | givenchi | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,440 | −$483 −14% | — |
| 464d | Pleasant-Passenger | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,215 | −$490 −4.8% | — |
| 464d | Yerimii | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | −$55 −4.2% | — |
| 464d | salgoat | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,635 | −$81 −5.0% | — |
| 464d | Saltyballs3 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,669 | +$231 +6.3% | 22 |
| 464d | Hcjis736 | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | −$175 −13% | — |
| 464d | Technionpro | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$224 +18% | 24 |
| 464d | DeezzNutzz | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,057 | +$1,057 +100% | — |
| 464d |  Naichli | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,865 | +$1,324 +46% | 28 |
| 464d |  Funfzig | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,021 | −$1,021 −100% | 28 |
| 464d | Marks10004 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $6,315 | +$4,763 +75% | 25 |
| 464d | Pleasant-Passenger | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$5,705 +114% | 26 |
| 464d | prime770 | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellNo39¢ → 100¢ | $1,298 | −$2,029 −156% | — |
| 464d |  acm24 | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,284 | +$1,284 +100% | — |
| 464d | Gd80 | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $2,539 | −$2,539 −100% | 25 |
| 464d | DeezzNutzz4 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $10,931 | −$10,931 −100% | 25 |
| 464d | prime770 | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,326 +66% | 25 |
| 465d | Saltyballs3 fills | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $9,382 | −$9,382 −100% | 25 |
| 466d |  Dumbeldor2003 | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | −$417 −36% | — |
| 467d | Dumbeldor2003 | Israel strikes Yemen by Friday? | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$422 +35% | 22 |
gopfan25,014 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemen soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate between July 13, 12:00 PM ET and July 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.