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Polymarket wallet 0x81c3433aad6c4ae4c6a9c5f8cb25f7b5123af449 · on Polymarket since Feb 7, 2026 · also shown as Adorable-Workhorse
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 87¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| BitBoy convicted?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BuyUp87¢ | $1 |
| 57d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BuyDown89¢ | $1 |
| 95d | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $1 |
| 102d | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? | SellYes94¢ | $1 |
| 117d | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BuyNo89¢ | $1 |
| 147d | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? | BuyYes95¢ | $1 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BuyUp69¢ | $3 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BuyUp69¢ | $3 |
| 188d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BuyUp65¢ | $3 |
| 208d | BitBoy convicted? | BuyYes3¢ | $0 |
| 237d | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | SellNo99¢ | $20 |
| 237d | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $20 |
| 258d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)? | SellNo>99¢ | $59 |
| 258d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)? | BuyNo>99¢ | $59 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.