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Polymarket wallet 0x81de5cf5ace1f96b0c270fb5efccf0d5c9ce7a43 · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2026 · also shown as Easy-Going-Existence
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 37 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12,424 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5PM ET | SellUp2¢ | $0 |
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5PM ET | BuyUp5¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET | BuyUp3¢ | $10 |
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET | BuyUp18¢ | $20 |
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET | SellUp17¢ | $28 |
| 282d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET | BuyUp9¢ | $15 |
| 282d | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $7 |
| 282d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 282d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes27¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.