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Polymarket wallet 0x81e33eb690fea1bdd2ead1ff68d88dd946a6ba1f · on Polymarket since Jun 14, 2025 · also shown as Second-Yarmulke
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 64 | 47¢ → 100¢ | $64 | +$34 +113% |
| Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 48 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $48 | +$18 +59% |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $13 | +$3 +33% |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +20% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +11% |
| DeepSeek V4 released before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.5% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 66 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 488d | Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | BuyYes75¢ | $10 |
| 492d | Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025? | BuyNo63¢ | $30 |
| 492d | DeepSeek V4 released before July? | BuyNo93¢ | $5 |
| 492d | US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline? | BuyNo30¢ | $20 |
| 492d | Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025? | BuyYes37¢ | $20 |
| 492d | Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | BuyNo83¢ | $10 |
| 492d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo90¢ | $5 |
| 492d | US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | BuyNo47¢ | $30 |
| 492d | US military action against Iran before August? | BuyNo30¢ | $40 |
| 492d | US recession in 2025? | BuyYes30¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.