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Polymarket wallet 0x82d7331cb3c0db1555d176a3f5b38fb2bde3fd8f · on Polymarket since Aug 28, 2024 · also shown as Elegant-Arthur
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 113,239 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $3,001 | −$2,003 −40% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 774 | 13¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$91 −91% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $2,203 |
| 9d | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $1,826 |
| 109d | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $975 |
| 109d | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SellYes78¢ | $975 |
| 266d | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $100 |
| 266d | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $100 |
| 266d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes42¢ | $399 |
| 268d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes44¢ | $300 |
| 269d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes43¢ | $49 |
| 274d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes42¢ | $100 |
| 717d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes34¢ | $10 |
| 781d | Pavel Durov released in August? | BuyNo41¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.