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Polymarket wallet 0x836667fdc6bacbaa56434c3574413f0ac6f0125f · on Polymarket since Dec 5, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $100 | +$14 +16% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$56 −100% |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 318d | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BuyYes80¢ | $56 |
| 318d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo87¢ | $17 |
| 318d | Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
| 318d | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day? | BuyYes6¢ | $6 |
| 319d | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BuyYes86¢ | $86 |
| 319d | Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BuyYes21¢ | $21 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.