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Polymarket wallet 0x83ce8522bd88743fc880571a5c38e4e8c196ac43 · on Polymarket since Mar 24, 2026 · also shown as Writhing-Hydraulics
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$80 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BuyNo11¢ | $90 |
| 27d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BuyYes90¢ | $2,700 |
| 32d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BuyNo3¢ | $4 |
| 32d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BuyYes97¢ | $2,700 |
| 45d | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BuyYes96¢ | $2,593 |
| 214d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BuyYes12¢ | $80 |
| 214d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BuyYes32¢ | $400 |
| 214d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BuyYes45¢ | $600 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.