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Polymarket wallet 0x8415829f868d68f369b6c5668ef14c93775926c3 · on Polymarket since Oct 25, 2025 · also shown as Miserly-Pentagon
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 503 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $503 | +$12 +2.5% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 207d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BuyYes98¢ | $490 |
| 207d | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BuyNo99¢ | $11 |
| 257d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | SellYes83¢ | $513 |
| 257d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes85¢ | $541 |
| 269d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | SellYes99¢ | $1 |
| 311d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes77¢ | $14 |
| 314d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SellNo64¢ | $14 |
| 319d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BuyNo65¢ | $14 |
| 319d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo6¢ | $3 |
| 363d | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BuyDown99¢ | $17 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.