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Polymarket wallet 0x85145a5ebb049939262625894bc64bebbd24c4b0 · on Polymarket since Jan 23, 2026 · also shown as Lost-Ceremony
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona WildcatsSettled - ready to redeem | Arizona Wildcats | 10 | 78¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$2 +28% |
| GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +1.0% |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Ends in 433d | Yes | 3 | 92¢ → 73¢ | $2 | −$1 −20% |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 2 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 433d | No | 2 | 97¢ → 93¢ | $2 | −$0 −4.3% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | No | 1 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +3.8% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 203d | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BuyNo81¢ | $1 |
| 203d | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2 |
| 212d | Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats | BuyArizona Wildcats78¢ | $8 |
| 266d | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31? | BuyYes96¢ | $1 |
| 266d | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | BuyYes92¢ | $3 |
| 266d | Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? | BuyNo97¢ | $2 |
| 266d | GPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.