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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 46% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 46¢ · 46¢ (<1¢) | $25.7K | in 176d |
| Édouard Philippe | 17% | — | −1 pts | 16¢ · 17¢ (1¢) | $11.7K | in 176d |
| David Lisnard | 13% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 13¢ · 13¢ (<1¢) | $24K | in 176d |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 11% | — | — | 10¢ · 11¢ (1¢) | $17.4K | in 176d |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $5.09K | in 176d |
| François Hollande | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $8.96K | in 176d |
| Bruno Retailleau | 1% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $74K | in 176d |
| Gabriel Attal | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $8.14K | in 176d |
| Éric Zemmour | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $9.99K | in 176d |
| Jordan Bardella | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $2.59K | in 176d |
| Sarah Knafo | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $7.91K | in 176d |
| Dominique de Villepin | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $57.6K | in 176d |
| Christine Lagarde | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $24.2K | in 176d |
| Sébastien Lecornu | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $4.17K | in 176d |
| Xavier Bertrand | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $29.1K | in 176d |
| Marion Maréchal | <1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $19.1K | in 176d |
| Natacha Polony | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $12.1K | in 176d |
| François Ruffin | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | $2.1 | in 176d |
| Marine Tondelier | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Ségolène Royal | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| François Asselineau | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $20.4K | in 176d |
| Jean Castex | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Laurent Wauquiez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Fabien Roussel | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Olivier Faure | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Clémentine Autain | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Michel Barnier | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Valérie Pécresse | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| François Bayrou | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Élisabeth Borne | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Yaël Braun-Pivet | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Gérald Darmanin | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Carole Delga | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Manuel Bompard | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Mathilde Panot | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Juan Branco | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $1.3 | in 176d |
| Clémence Guetté | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Karim Bouamrane | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Lucie Castets | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Yannick Jadot | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| François Baroin | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Anasse Kazib | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| Sylvain Durif | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 176d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h |  tunatyler | David Lisnard | SellNo86¢ → 87¢ | $4,257 | −$57 −1.3% | — |
| 3h |  LlamaLoco000014 fills | Marine Le Pen | BuyNo59¢ → 54¢ | $183,700 | −$14,920 −8.1% | 30 |
| 5h | maritime63072 fills | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes46¢ | $2,496 | −$29 −1.2% | 18 |
| 10h | Nesystem | Jordan Bardella | BuyNo99¢ | $1,650 | −$1 −0.1% | 10 |
| 23h | loveeeee | Édouard Philippe | SellYes16¢ → 17¢ | $1,057 | −$33 −3.1% | — |
| 1d | itoldu2 fills | David Lisnard | BuyYes14¢ → 13¢ | $2,300 | −$155 −6.7% | 23 |
| 1d | StudentMoney | Marine Le Pen | SellYes46¢ | $2,305 | +$13 +0.5% | — |
| 1d |  Fuentes313 fills | Édouard Philippe | BuyYes24¢ → 17¢ | $3,221 | −$1,049 −33% | 36 |
| 1d |  Kuukskes3 fills | Marine Le Pen | SellYes41¢ → 46¢ | $3,867 | −$445 −12% | — |
| 1d | Kuukskes3 fills | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes41¢ → 46¢ | $3,789 | +$432 +11% | 24 |
| 1d |  Hyperlong3 fills | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes46¢ | $5,454 | −$67 −1.2% | 28 |
| 2d | Authorized-Gazelle | Marine Le Pen | SellYes46¢ | $4,033 | +$13 +0.3% | — |
| 2d | ladab01 | David Lisnard | SellYes13¢ | $1,072 | +$52 +4.9% | — |
| 2d | nimbue | Jean-Luc Mélenchon | SellNo89¢ → 90¢ | $3,738 | −$21 −0.6% | — |
| 2d |  LiquidatedDegen | Marine Le Pen | SellYes46¢ | $4,052 | +$34 +0.8% | — |
| 2d | BurstedBubble26 fills | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes42¢ → 46¢ | $205,415 | +$18,147 +8.8% | 37 |
| 2d | Tukef | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes46¢ | $1,450 | −$17 −1.2% | 15 |
| 2d |  XKJJO | David Lisnard | BuyYes13¢ | $1,200 | +$8 +0.7% | 15 |
| 3d |  ImBruceWayne | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes46¢ | $4,368 | −$42 −1.0% | 25 |
| 3d | korETHja | David Lisnard | BuyNo87¢ | $1,088 | +$3 +0.3% | 12 |
| 3d | oeleh | David Lisnard | BuyYes12¢ → 13¢ | $2,080 | +$83 +4.0% | 22 |
| 3d | sinatra-8682 fills | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes46¢ | $3,500 | −$46 −1.3% | 22 |
| 3d |  ImOldBruceWayne | Marine Le Pen | SellYes46¢ | $5,440 | +$53 +1.0% | — |
| 3d | dgfdtr56rgdhg | Raphaël Glucksmann | SellNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,119 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 3d | dgfdtr56rgdhg | Raphaël Glucksmann | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,120 | +$8 +0.7% | 13 |
| 3d | rhawe2 fills | Jean-Luc Mélenchon | BuyYes11¢ | $2,335 | −$106 −4.5% | 27 |
| 3d | fddsfe5e654 | Gabriel Attal | SellNo99¢ | $3,117 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 3d | Huxleydf | Sébastien Lecornu | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,022 | −$1 −0.1% | 10 |
| 4d |  Tommy06382 fills | David Lisnard | BuyYes12¢ → 13¢ | $2,123 | +$180 +8.5% | 23 |
| 4d | 0x1766…5221 | David Lisnard | BuyYes12¢ → 13¢ | $1,055 | +$86 +8.1% | 14 |
| 4d |  NetaMeow | Raphaël Glucksmann | SellYes4¢ | $1,214 | −$40 −3.3% | — |
| 4d | Flamboyant-Warming | François Hollande | SellNo98¢ | $1,563 | +$7 +0.5% | — |
| 4d | Davcoh26 | David Lisnard | SellYes12¢ → 13¢ | $2,277 | −$214 −9.4% | — |
| 4d | WarriorH2 fills | David Lisnard | BuyNo88¢ → 87¢ | $3,029 | −$11 −0.4% | 14 |
| 4d | spyr02 fills | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes46¢ | $2,274 | −$11 −0.5% | 18 |
| 4d | jyPoz | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes46¢ | $1,763 | −$2 −0.1% | 16 |
| 4d | l3t0 | Marine Le Pen | SellYes46¢ | $2,257 | +$7 +0.3% | — |
| 4d |  DFK6 fills | David Lisnard | SellNo88¢ → 87¢ | $17,282 | +$165 +1.0% | — |
| 4d | uzjd | David Lisnard | BuyYes12¢ → 13¢ | $1,183 | +$106 +9.0% | 15 |
| 5d | BaucheJerome | Marine Le Pen | SellYes46¢ | $3,068 | +$40 +1.3% | — |
| 5d | NetaMeow | Raphaël Glucksmann | BuyYes5¢ → 4¢ | $1,376 | −$273 −20% | 32 |
| 5d |  Mr.Kirk | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes47¢ → 46¢ | $1,173 | −$26 −2.2% | 14 |
| 5d | gertrudeee | Marine Le Pen | SellYes47¢ → 46¢ | $1,183 | +$25 +2.1% | — |
| 5d |  vinii | Raphaël Glucksmann | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,645 | +$29 +1.1% | 14 |
| 5d | Paul973973 | Marine Le Pen | BuyNo53¢ → 54¢ | $2,000 | +$38 +1.9% | 16 |
| 5d |  paldo.io | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes48¢ → 46¢ | $2,500 | −$107 −4.3% | 18 |
| 5d | 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A2 fills | Marine Le Pen | SellYes45¢ → 46¢ | $2,327 | −$57 −2.5% | — |
| 5d | polypolypoly | Jean-Luc Mélenchon | BuyYes10¢ → 11¢ | $1,500 | +$75 +5.0% | 20 |
| 5d | idontmaketherules3 fills | Jean-Luc Mélenchon | BuyYes10¢ → 11¢ | $3,000 | +$150 +5.0% | 32 |
| 5d | BurstedBubble3 fills | Édouard Philippe | BuyYes19¢ → 17¢ | $17,127 | −$2,067 −12% | 47 |
| 5d | BurstedBubble | Raphaël Glucksmann | BuyYes5¢ → 4¢ | $1,164 | −$174 −15% | 29 |
| 5d | lastminwin4 fills | Édouard Philippe | BuyNo78¢ → 84¢ | $32,783 | +$2,421 +7.4% | 25 |
| 5d | lastminwin | David Lisnard | BuyNo88¢ → 87¢ | $15,749 | −$187 −1.2% | 18 |
| 5d | ImOldBruceWayne2 fills | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes40¢ → 46¢ | $2,074 | +$311 +15% | 18 |
| 6d | BaucheJerome | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes48¢ → 46¢ | $3,190 | −$162 −5.1% | 20 |
| 6d | MandangoCrypto2 fills | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes47¢ → 46¢ | $8,423 | −$243 −2.9% | 31 |
| 6d | WarriorH3 fills | Marine Le Pen | BuyYes46¢ | $3,638 | −$6 −0.2% | 22 |
| 6d | Sline75 | David Lisnard | BuyNo88¢ → 87¢ | $6,787 | −$81 −1.2% | 18 |
| 6d |  boyau | David Lisnard | BuyYes12¢ → 13¢ | $1,486 | +$133 +9.0% | 18 |
| 6d | FoxxHunter | Sarah Knafo | SellNo99¢ | $5,095 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
flovertaco45,437 shares
BTCmaxi25,062 sharesLlamaLoco0000417,221 shares
avon57,240 sharesThe next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 46¢ for Marine Le Pen means the market gives it about 46%.