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Polymarket wallet 0x8666d2c384b98dc7be8bd416afecb7bd173924e7 · on Polymarket since Jan 22, 2026 · also shown as Probable-Snowboarding
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 43¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$3 +133% |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 55¢ → 94¢ | $3 | +$1 +71% |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.7% |
| Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 103 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 273d | Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes? | BuyNo43¢ | $2 |
| 273d | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo55¢ | $2 |
| 273d | Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $8 |
| 274d | Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyYes92¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.