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Polymarket wallet 0x8830e1a4a571da4c4555d9b41c8c63c3b364fd2d · on Polymarket since Feb 28, 2026 · also shown as Dishonest-Reflection
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 233d | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BuyYes36¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | BuyYes15¢ | $1 |
| 233d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | BuyYes11¢ | $1 |
| 233d | Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote? | BuyYes98¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.