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Polymarket wallet 0x8a4590b3dec99f27699bbcf6989bb26f327d1238 · on Polymarket since Feb 21, 2026 · also shown as Unwieldy-Show
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,707 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $920 | +$58 +6.8% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $835 | +$75 +9.9% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,000 | 77¢ → 80¢ | $802 | +$34 +4.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $705 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 65¢ → 68¢ | $675 | +$25 +3.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,000 | 38¢ → 39¢ | $385 | +$5 +1.3% |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 176d | Yes | 622 | 36¢ → 37¢ | $227 | +$3 +1.4% |
| Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 404 | 25¢ → 31¢ | $124 | +$21 +21% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.