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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 82 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 229d | Will Iran strike Israel on March 9? | BuyNo6¢ | $5 |
| 229d | Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | SellNo95¢ | $6 |
| 231d | Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | BuyNo65¢ | $4 |
| 231d | Will Khamenei tweet again by March 7? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 231d | US strikes Iraq by March 7? | SellNo66¢ | $2 |
| 231d | Will the February 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 232d | US strikes Iraq by March 7? | BuyNo38¢ | $1 |
| 270d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo24¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.