Obi-WanKenobi

Polymarket wallet 0x8abf797fa11cc995a35ca9c3369825ab08c19670 · on Polymarket since Mar 18, 2026 · also shown as Gripping-Splendor

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $3.7
All-time profit: −$704
Volume traded: $79.4K
All-time rank: #3,009,926
Markets traded: 201
Recent hit rate: 82%41 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $3.7

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d	Yes	2,465	4¢ → <1¢	$4	−$93 −96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	167	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	86	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$31 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	45	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	60	17¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	53	19¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	45	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	74	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,250	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	56	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	108	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	62	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	208	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	114	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$16 −100%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	743	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	171	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	122	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	34	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	56	18¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	93	55¢ → 0¢	$0	−$51 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	36	42¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	148	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	172	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	107	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	54	28¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	45	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	23,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$23 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	128	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	77	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$29 −100%
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem	Conor McGregor	332	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$103 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	100	15¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	80	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,068	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	53	38¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	24	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	45	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	79	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	58	34¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	567	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$27 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	68	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	52	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	181	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	593	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	71	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,500	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	136	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	62	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	93	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	23	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	45	22¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	16	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	56	9¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,667	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	235	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	105	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	566	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$21 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	62	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$24 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	165	27¢ → 0¢	$0	−$45 −100%
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	959	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Settled - ready to redeem	No	749	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$28 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	46	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	697	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	143	7¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	125	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	45	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	62	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	76	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	240	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$12 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	78	32¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	31	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	470	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	113	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	217	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,667	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	133	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	30¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	100	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	163	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	94	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$38 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	81	0¢ → 0¢	$0	$0 0.0%
Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	415	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$54 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	107	47¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	2,143	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$763 −100%
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem	No	192	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	615	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	83	12¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	176	14¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	110	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	43	23¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	109	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$11 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	24	21¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	11	52¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	102	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$26 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
36d	Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?	BuyYes13¢	$30
36d	Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?	BuyYes9¢	$21
36d	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?	BuyNo13¢	$26
36d	Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?	BuyYes13¢	$26
39d	Bills vs. Texans	SellBills>99¢	$102
39d	Bills vs. Texans	BuyBills52¢	$55
42d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes20¢	$122
42d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes36¢	$194
49d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	BuyUp16¢	$16
49d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes45¢	$5
49d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes47¢	$154
50d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$1
50d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes4¢	$101
51d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes1¢	$3
51d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes43¢	$2
51d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes43¢	$309
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	BuyUp52¢	$6
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	BuyUp47¢	$52
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	BuyUp33¢	$16
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	BuyUp33¢	$10
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	BuyUp38¢	$16
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	SellUp87¢	$24
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	BuyUp71¢	$20
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	SellUp79¢	$24
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	BuyUp64¢	$21
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	SellDown10¢	$4
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	SellUp85¢	$31
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	BuyDown22¢	$11
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	BuyUp67¢	$26
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	BuyDown13¢	$5
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	SellUp77¢	$51
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	BuyUp60¢	$41
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	BuyUp5¢	$13
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	SellUp3¢	$1
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	BuyUp16¢	$8
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	SellUp99¢	$29
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	BuyDown5¢	$5
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	BuyDown9¢	$5
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	BuyUp34¢	$10
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	SellUp63¢	$39
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	BuyUp50¢	$10
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	BuyUp57¢	$26
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	BuyDown28¢	$16
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	BuyUp28¢	$11
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	BuyUp30¢	$21
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	BuyDown8¢	$5
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	BuyDown34¢	$21
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	BuyDown10¢	$4
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SellDown41¢	$16
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	BuyDown38¢	$16
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	BuyUp23¢	$11
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	SellUp49¢	$11
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	SellDown65¢	$43
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	BuyDown62¢	$21
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	BuyUp44¢	$10
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	BuyDown57¢	$21
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	SellUp81¢	$30
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	BuyDown20¢	$11
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	BuyUp54¢	$21
58d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	BuyDown4¢	$3

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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