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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | 100% | +30 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Holloway to win by KO/TKO? | 100% | +46 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| McGregor to win by KO/TKO? | 0% | −26 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% | −51 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by submission? | 0% | −10 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% | −21 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 100% | +27 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 0% | −80 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 0% | −65 pts | −59 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 0% | −25 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 0% | −36 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103d | D3GNEV | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $6,581 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | bobifisher | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $6,237 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Eminent-GaugeNew account | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $3,032 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | kidulty94 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $2,946 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | kidulty94 | O/U 2.5 Rounds | SellUnder>99¢ | $3,296 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | FacelessGod | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $2,775 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Musty-Instrument | O/U 2.5 Rounds | SellUnder>99¢ | $4,246 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Jooba | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $1,518 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Miniature-Review | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $21,730 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | ChikaBoomPow | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $3,969 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Different-Boogeyman-Spasm | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $7,857 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | CB42 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Shallow-Spending-ProtocolNew account | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $2,865 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | issacpphpotp | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $2,775 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | AnewFaith | Holloway to win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,831 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 103d | Jzn1020 | Holloway to win by KO/TKO? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,909 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | RUMBLED | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $1,171 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Basile1313 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $3,782 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Vitekk38 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Jzn1020 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $1,915 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 103d |  digitalnomad85 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Rossosh | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $1,688 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Frank-Holiday | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $1,035 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | 0x6314…0183 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $10,822 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | speedTLT | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $4,823 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 103d |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | Holloway to win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,346 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 103d | kutsumiakia | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $1,994 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | STC14 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 103d |  TBill1 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway>99¢ | $6,415 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 103d | Iconicsoundsdk | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway99¢ → 100¢ | $13,378 | −$135 −1.0% | — |
| 103d | Baejun | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | SellMax Holloway99¢ → 100¢ | $2,218 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 103d |  Midrunner | O/U 4.5 Rounds | BuyUnder95¢ → 100¢ | $1,578 | +$81 +5.1% | 6 |
| 103d |  6kke1t2 fills | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway95¢ → 100¢ | $5,347 | +$256 +4.8% | 6 |
| 103d | user9211232 fills | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway84¢ → 100¢ | $2,385 | +$461 +19% | 9 |
| 103d | as1dasd23 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway83¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | +$990 +21% | 10 |
| 103d | takeormake2 fills | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway82¢ → 100¢ | $7,198 | +$1,604 +22% | 10 |
| 103d | 6yuyurrg3 fills | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway82¢ → 100¢ | $20,726 | +$4,514 +22% | 10 |
| 103d |  47513463 fills | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway74¢ → 100¢ | $8,758 | +$3,018 +34% | 13 |
| 103d | gaclfz4 fills | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway76¢ → 100¢ | $10,101 | +$3,231 +32% | 12 |
| 103d |  3648393489047 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway74¢ → 100¢ | $37,081 | +$13,028 +35% | 13 |
| 103d |  E33xing | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway74¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$703 +35% | 13 |
| 103d | SupaSon | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway72¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$1,944 +39% | 13 |
| 103d | Sore-Burial | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway72¢ → 100¢ | $7,344 | +$2,856 +39% | 13 |
| 103d | Prelode4 fills | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyConor McGregor30¢ → 0¢ | $63,000 | −$63,000 −100% | 9 |
| 103d | chillhouse123 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyConor McGregor29¢ → 0¢ | $7,517 | −$7,517 −100% | 14 |
| 103d | hansama231 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyConor McGregor29¢ → 0¢ | $2,900 | −$2,900 −100% | 14 |
| 103d |  sleepy-panda14 fills | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyConor McGregor30¢ → 0¢ | $155,033 | −$155K −100% | 6 |
| 103d | vishy27732 fills | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway71¢ → 100¢ | $3,069 | +$1,225 +40% | 14 |
| 103d | PuntPP | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway72¢ → 100¢ | $5,164 | +$2,008 +39% | 13 |
| 103d | issacpphpotp | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway72¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$778 +39% | 13 |
| 103d | neutralwave233 fills | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyConor McGregor30¢ → 0¢ | $12,381 | −$12,381 −100% | 12 |
| 103d | Pastourmas | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyConor McGregor29¢ → 0¢ | $4,560 | −$4,560 −100% | 14 |
| 103d | DaBossHogg | Holloway to win by KO/TKO? | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $6,093 | +$4,985 +82% | 14 |
| 103d | Some-Chaise | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway72¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$420 +39% | 13 |
| 103d | alaskabaked | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway72¢ → 100¢ | $2,931 | +$1,140 +39% | 13 |
| 103d | ThisAgain3 fills | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway72¢ → 100¢ | $727,404 | +$279K +38% | 13 |
| 103d | comfyinyes | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyConor McGregor29¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 14 |
| 103d | purplegatto | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyMax Holloway72¢ → 100¢ | $1,933 | +$752 +39% | 13 |
| 103d | crashhbandii7 | Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor | BuyConor McGregor29¢ → 0¢ | $1,145 | −$1,145 −100% | 14 |
| 103d |  itskkoma | Fight won by KO/TKO? | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$925 +37% | 13 |
eyepredicts1,390,545 shares
User1244322901,749 shares
AML599,998 sharesThis market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor means the market gives it about 100%.