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Polymarket wallet 0x8aff4b2c10ccf63375a2f80d35c835ccc339524b · on Polymarket since Jan 30, 2026 · also shown as Threadbare-Alpha
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.7% |
| UNCG Spartans vs. The Citadel BulldogsSettled - ready to redeem | UNCG Spartans | 620 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$347 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 155d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 22? | BuyYes>99¢ | $12 |
| 155d | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 22? | BuyNo>99¢ | $31 |
| 155d | Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $5 |
| 266d | UNCG Spartans vs. The Citadel Bulldogs | BuyUNCG Spartans56¢ | $347 |
| 266d | Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SellYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 266d | Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SellYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 266d | Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SellYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 266d | Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BuyYes<1¢ | $19 |
| 266d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.