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Polymarket wallet 0x8b250f8e693cca6b46aeec641223cea71a2600a3 · on Polymarket since Jan 5, 2026 · also shown as Nautical-Stranger
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,364 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$700 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,499 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$600 −100% |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19,351 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$600 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 274d | Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | BuyYes<1¢ | $50 |
| 274d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $100 |
| 274d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $100 |
| 274d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $100 |
| 281d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $300 |
| 281d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes11¢ | $700 |
| 291d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $600 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.