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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 68d | No | 412 | 64¢ → 84¢ | $344 | +$78 +30% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 68d | Yes | 584 | 59¢ → 41¢ | $236 | −$108 −31% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 68d | Yes | 229 | 70¢ → 28¢ | $64 | −$95 −60% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Ends in 68d | Yes | 44 | 90¢ → 27¢ | $12 | −$28 −70% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 14 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.