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Polymarket wallet 0x8cfdec5d9a1d91b3a6f504bb4a32a26b34aa5bab · on Polymarket since Oct 28, 2024 · also shown as Sorrowful-Shout
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 124 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $124 | +$1 +0.7% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 101 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $101 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +19% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 150 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 269d | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BuyYes99¢ | $124 |
| 269d | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BuyNo1¢ | $5 |
| 269d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15 |
| 269d | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes99¢ | $100 |
| 269d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp84¢ | $10 |
| 269d | US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 663d | Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024? | BuyYes96¢ | $7 |
| 663d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024? | BuyNo84¢ | $117 |
| 663d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024? | BuyNo84¢ | $50 |
| 663d | Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024? | BuyYes96¢ | $2 |
| 721d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes57¢ | $120 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.