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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 269d | exceeding2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 27? | SellUp78¢ → 100¢ | $3,625 | −$1,016 −28% | — |
| 269d | 0x80e9D5D164D0917299c9Efb18A739338C6cD79611 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $20,080 | +$8,165 +41% | 4 |
| 269d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $5,916 | +$884 +15% | 3 | |
| 269d | Xuxito | Ethereum Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$800 +67% | 4 |
| 269d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 27? | BuyDown25¢ → 0¢ | $3,664 | −$3,664 −100% | 10 | |
| 269d | exceeding2 fills | Ethereum Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $3,100 | +$900 +29% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jan 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.