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Polymarket wallet 0x8f853d83700f05e43c538c4f0e4722275f427550 · on Polymarket since Nov 21, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 274 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 93 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 681d | Luigi Mangione manifesto released by Friday? | BuyNo15¢ | $40 |
| 693d | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 693d | Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29? | SellYes>99¢ | $72 |
| 693d | Ripple above $1.46 on November 29? | SellYes>99¢ | $89 |
| 693d | Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 698d | Ripple above $1.46 on November 29? | BuyYes56¢ | $50 |
| 698d | Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29? | BuyYes69¢ | $50 |
| 698d | Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first? | Buy$400074¢ | $100 |
| 700d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? | BuyNo55¢ | $5 |
| 701d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? | BuyNo38¢ | $50 |
| 701d | Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025? | BuyNo54¢ | $50 |
| 701d | Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? | BuyNo87¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.