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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 35 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 67 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 12-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 268d | US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $2 |
| 273d | Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026? | BuyNo29¢ | $10 |
| 278d | Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? | BuyNo38¢ | $2 |
| 281d | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo30¢ | $2 |
| 283d | Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $2 |
| 283d | Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 12-18? | BuyYes11¢ | $2 |
| 284d | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19? | BuyNo25¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.