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Polymarket wallet 0x914d4b764fa57466b2cf36da202bcbb9f5c8b73b · on Polymarket since Sep 26, 2025 · also shown as Untrue-Cradle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +45% |
| US government shutdown by October 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +35% |
| US x China tariff agreement by November 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 84¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +19% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 369d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 375d | US x China tariff agreement by November 10? | BuyYes84¢ | $1 |
| 380d | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? | BuyNo64¢ | $1 |
| 390d | US government shutdown in 2025? | BuyYes69¢ | $1 |
| 392d | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes74¢ | $1 |
| 393d | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.