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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +22 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 388d | kymsttl | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,188 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 388d |  tsybka | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $53,555 | +$54 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d | DrumtongTiger | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,858 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d |  betwick | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,970 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d |  funnyday2 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,090 | +$70 +1.0% | 4 |
| 388d | 0x7d17741e8bF | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,337 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 388d | Unselfish-Rations | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,587 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d | Ignb | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,308 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 388d |  BrightTiger | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d |  ScottyNooo13 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $117,974 | +$3,227 +2.7% | 5 |
| 388d |  sleepy-panda | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,304 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 388d |  Oompa-Loompa2 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,754 | +$246 +5.2% | 6 |
| 388d |  Debosnys2 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,431 | +$321 +7.2% | 6 |
| 388d |  SappySeal67 | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,991 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 388d | Nottot | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,796 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 388d |  TealV14 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $55,368 | +$7,889 +14% | 6 |
| 388d | bruc333 | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,523 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 388d | xiaohui18 | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,382 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 388d |  hsc | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $20,452 | −$63 −0.3% | — |
| 388d |  tourists3 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $16,082 | −$2,039 −13% | — |
| 388d |  Naichli | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,277 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 388d | mnomno | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d | blkbi1 | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d |  alienware34 | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $7,888 | −$24 −0.3% | — |
| 388d |  TheWolfOfPoly2 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,156 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 388d | FunnyMonkey78 | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $6,335 | −$23 −0.4% | — |
| 388d | rwo | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 388d |  WordleAddict2 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $149,809 | +$150 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d | alliswell | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $72,030 | −$144 −0.2% | — |
| 388d | worldeconomy | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $8,194 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 388d | Glacial123 | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,895 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 388d |  reizo2 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,765 | −$133 −1.7% | — |
| 388d | Trim-MastNew account | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,407 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 388d |  Noooooooooooooo | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,288 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 388d |  CoffeeLover | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,429 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d | 0xe0f3208b94bBD4D1a3dEe319D4d574747297D82 | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,866 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 388d | ggattacker | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,513 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 388d | Abandoned-Counsel11 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,615 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 388d | Logan. | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes100¢ | $1,004 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 388d |  debased6 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $81,347 | +$1,378 +1.7% | 5 |
| 388d | planetnine | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 388d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,271 | +$86 +0.6% | 4 |
| 388d | BobbyB2 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $24,850 | +$150 +0.6% | 4 |
| 388d | rwo | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $39,760 | +$240 +0.6% | 4 |
| 388d | alliswell | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,031 | +$133 +0.6% | 4 |
| 388d |  Jep-G6 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $12,979 | +$921 +7.1% | 5 |
| 388d |  Dropper | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $44,469 | +$313 +0.7% | 4 |
| 388d |  ImJustKen | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $39,720 | +$280 +0.7% | 4 |
| 388d | poptree | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,968 | +$32 +0.8% | 4 |
| 388d |  Kickstand72 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $83,362 | +$3,346 +4.0% | 5 |
| 388d |  cookiejar | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $128,404 | +$2,251 +1.8% | 4 |
| 388d | ggattacker | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$30 +2.0% | 4 |
| 388d | Possums | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,982 | −$116 −2.9% | — |
| 388d | Wan-ConspiratorNew account | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyNo8¢ → 0¢ | $14,151 | −$14,151 −100% | 47 |
| 388d | choohkz23 | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | +$40 +2.0% | 4 |
| 388d | ImJustKen | US government shutdown by October 1? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,983 | −$280 −1.8% | — |
| 388d | reizo2 fills | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,993 | +$89 +1.5% | 4 |
| 388d | pfooo | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,628 | +$35 +1.3% | 4 |
| 388d | worldeconomy | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,120 | +$90 +1.1% | 4 |
| 388d |  NihilisticMeerkat | US government shutdown by October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,897 | +$117 +1.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management announces that the U.S. federal government is shut down due to a lapse in appropriations by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If the Office of Personnel Management announces a partial shutdown this will count, however announcements of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the website of the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/snow-dismissal-procedures/current-status/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.