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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,857 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,600 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,542 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 252d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)? | SellYes1¢ | $10 |
| 253d | US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 254d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 254d | Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes2¢ | $7 |
| 254d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11? | BuyYes<1¢ | $3 |
| 260d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 260d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes<1¢ | $8 |
| 260d | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 260d | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.