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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66,000 | 100% | +8 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −63 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −64 pts | −84 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | −26 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | — | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | — | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 254d | lanxbaba | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,573 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | rafriki | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,900 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 254d |  BlackswanHunter | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,083 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | IH2P | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,331 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,440 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 254d |  MarsianinY | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,104 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | Stingy-Gingerbread | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,348 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | ace | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,130 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | vicpips | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,075 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | Trick | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $47,555 | −$48 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | High-Level-Clan | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,029 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 254d |  noreasapa | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,102 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 254d | 67672 fills | 66,000 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | −$243 −11% | — |
| 254d | KaelNevermore | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,831 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | Sharky6999 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 254d | averagerandomman2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $2,803 | −$2,803 −100% | 6 |
| 254d | 0x1461cC6e7 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $10,126 | +$2,743 +27% | 3 |
| 254d | il1 | 66,000 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$2,862 +29% | 2 |
| 254d | 0x1461cC6e3 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo12¢ → 0¢ | $3,756 | −$3,756 −100% | 14 |
| 254d | Trick | 66,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $5,327 | +$1,189 +22% | 2 |
| 254d | onekey09 | 66,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $98,189 | +$1,811 +1.8% | 2 |
| 254d | Stalker23b7 fills | 66,000 | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $20,673 | −$10,590 −51% | — |
| 254d | AHMaelstrom | 66,000 | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $9,054 | −$9,054 −100% | 8 |
| 254d | 67673 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,535 | +$642 +18% | 3 |
| 254d |  VULT4 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $7,607 | +$2,714 +36% | 4 |
| 254d |  FXC | 66,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,523 | +$240 +9.5% | 3 |
| 254d | alison95 | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $21,229 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | Stalker23b7 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $18,018 | +$6,521 +36% | 4 |
| 254d | zoquendo | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,548 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | robinsonmike2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,500 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 254d | jayfake | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,487 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 254d | giftedbytheforest | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,846 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 254d | edseah | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,079 | +$25 +0.2% | 2 |
| 254d | edseah | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,079 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 254d |  Bigflowers10 | 66,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | +$115 +6.5% | 3 |
| 254d | iamgone | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,299 | +$26 +1.1% | 2 |
| 254d | geraldhew89 | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,945 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 254d | SkyLove7 | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,307 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 254d |  upont2 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,702 | +$84 +3.1% | 2 |
| 254d |  hentaivirus | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,367 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | luwis99 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,276 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | deeeadf | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,542 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 254d | XVFlow | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,684 | +$33 +0.1% | 2 |
| 254d | GaleMartin | 66,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$48 +4.2% | 2 |
| 254d | jacobclements | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,525 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | castanedameredith | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,598 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | ferickson | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,511 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 254d | averagerandomman | 66,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,789 | +$401 +22% | 4 |
| 254d | deeeadf | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,520 | +$25 +0.7% | 2 |
| 254d | Thin-Print2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $20,132 | +$527 +2.6% | 2 |
| 254d | XVFlow | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,824 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 254d | Thin-Print | 66,000 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,619 | −$328 −20% | — |
| 254d | PmDerek3 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,456 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 |
| 254d | upont3 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $11,037 | +$381 +3.5% | 2 |
| 254d | PmDerek2 fills | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,165 | −$34 −0.3% | — |
| 254d |  AcctToBeRetired | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,462 | +$27 +0.1% | 2 |
| 254d | WanTonMee | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,080 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 254d | PmDerek12 fills | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $44,508 | +$63 +0.1% | 2 |
| 254d | cripes3 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 254d | jokoroko | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,207 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
Fartard77,674 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 66,000 means the market gives it about 100%.