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Polymarket wallet 0x9482a0963be21bd853c7df3f1a3a76b2d6cc1c55 · on Polymarket since Aug 17, 2025 · also shown as Ethical-Tweet
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 803 | 15¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$117 −97% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,651 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$119 −100% |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 488 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$199 −100% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,185 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36d | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BuyYes15¢ | $125 |
| 225d | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BuyNo41¢ | $199 |
| 225d | Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | BuyNo24¢ | $30 |
| 389d | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes4¢ | $119 |
| 389d | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | SellYes6¢ | $19 |
| 432d | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine? | BuyYes31¢ | $100 |
| 432d | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23? | BuyYes8¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.