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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 378d | ISKOV | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $4,101 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | ganatalak5 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $15,637 | −$445 −2.8% | — |
| 378d | UMAENJOYER | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $3,234 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | mirand | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,053 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 378d | hopetogohome | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | Darios2geo | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $2,294 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | wokerjoesleeper | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $13,801 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | abusivienejskx | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,912 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 378d |  scottilicious | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $49,950 | −$50 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | gulliblebettor2 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,600 | −$107 −0.8% | — |
| 378d |  joostGROOT | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 378d |  cynical-reason | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $19,006 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | 0B063 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $23,475 | −$1,271 −5.4% | — |
| 378d | FDTpuissance | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $23,530 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | EconProf | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,546 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | TigerK | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $65,397 | −$65 −0.1% | — |
| 378d |  reizo | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $1,253 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | paper12 | Donald Trump | SellNo>99¢ | $18,463 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 378d | xhinra37 | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 378d |  occasionalAwareness3 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,105 | +$275 +0.8% | 20 |
| 378d | 0xB16B00B5 | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,000 | +$20 +0.1% | 20 |
| 378d |  rando123452 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $34,366 | +$34 +0.1% | 20 |
| 378d |  Anjun2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $65,004 | +$598 +0.9% | 20 |
| 378d |  noreasapa | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $41,459 | +$42 +0.1% | 20 |
| 378d | rwo2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $43,909 | +$570 +1.3% | 20 |
| 378d |  TeemuPukki3 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,519 | −$399 −3.8% | — |
| 378d | cigarettes24 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $67,482 | +$3,136 +4.6% | 20 |
| 378d | esac4 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $18,492 | +$594 +3.2% | 20 |
| 378d |  tourists10 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $49,712 | +$2,090 +4.2% | 20 |
| 378d | FragMalDenRalle | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,896 | +$57 +3.0% | 20 |
| 378d | sdiff123 | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,495 | +$46 +3.1% | 20 |
| 378d | wokerjoesleeper | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,236 | +$149 +3.5% | 20 |
| 378d | Matelleti | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,400 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 378d |  AudiVideTace | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,170 | +$30 +2.6% | 20 |
| 378d | BobbyB | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | +$46 +3.0% | 20 |
| 378d | AMX13 | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,126 | +$94 +3.0% | 20 |
| 378d | Matelleti | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$104 +2.8% | 20 |
| 378d |  0xdc3E831cad | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,870 | +$74 +4.0% | 20 |
| 378d |  Oompa-Loompa2 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,178 | −$414 −4.5% | — |
| 378d | ganatalak6 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,957 | +$580 +4.5% | 20 |
| 378d |  davester18 | Donald Trump | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,264 | −$1,264 −100% | 22 |
| 378d | IHYLAYMAD | Donald Trump | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,520 | −$1,520 −100% | 23 |
| 378d |  starship0903 | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,343 | +$96 +2.9% | 20 |
| 378d |  TheWolfOfPoly3 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,754 | −$246 −3.2% | — |
| 378d | Trump2028 | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,412 | +$45 +3.2% | 20 |
| 378d | cqs | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,904 | −$96 −3.3% | — |
| 378d | Breezy-Entrance | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,373 | −$197 −3.1% | — |
| 378d |  brodiaga | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $22,478 | +$601 +2.7% | 20 |
| 378d | BITCOINTO500K8 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $112,386 | +$5,576 +5.0% | 20 |
| 378d |  Bertapotamous3 fills | Elon Musk | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,704 | +$63 +0.3% | 20 |
| 378d | cocococococo | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,051 | −$59 −2.9% | — |
| 378d |  debased2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $19,410 | +$879 +4.5% | 20 |
| 378d | xhinra372 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $72,606 | +$2,844 +3.9% | 20 |
| 378d | juniper | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,889 | +$111 +3.8% | 20 |
| 378d | hsy5652 | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$71 +3.6% | 20 |
| 379d | slavaamerica22 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes4¢ → 0¢ | $14,000 | −$14,000 −100% | 40 |
| 379d | lesliecyh4 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,853 | −$391 −5.7% | — |
| 379d | 64MGX75VLQ | Donald Trump | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | −$25 −2.4% | — |
| 379d |  studmuffin69693 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,758 | −$350 −3.3% | — |
| 379d |  RelaySucks | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,161 | +$132 +2.1% | 20 |
satoshiAncap420,000 shares
Lyamchik3356,848 shares
stereoscorge293,212 shares
PollsR4Dummies239,356 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins the 2025 Nobel Peace prize. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump wins the prize along with another person/entity, this market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Donald Trump means the market gives it about 0%.