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Polymarket wallet 0x958490a150b0b10e0025631783d6633b53d300a0 · on Polymarket since Dec 3, 2024 · also shown as Vivacious-Conformation
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Cluely CEO Roy Lee get a girlfriend by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin all time high by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 415d | Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31? | BuyNo62¢ | $8 |
| 415d | Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31? | BuyYes42¢ | $7 |
| 430d | Will Cluely CEO Roy Lee get a girlfriend by August 31? | BuyYes4¢ | $2 |
| 430d | OpenAI social app in 2025? | BuyNo58¢ | $3 |
| 430d | Will Google have the top AI model on August 31? | BuyNo8¢ | $1 |
| 638d | Bitcoin all time high by January 31? | BuyYes64¢ | $2 |
| 677d | Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | BuyNo67¢ | $2 |
| 677d | Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? | BuyNo59¢ | $1 |
| 679d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyYes48¢ | $3 |
| 682d | Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | BuyNo22¢ | $1 |
| 687d | Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI? | BuyYes68¢ | $2 |
| 687d | South Korean President impeached in 2024? | BuyYes37¢ | $1 |
| 689d | Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? | SellNo61¢ | $1 |
| 689d | Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? | BuyYes41¢ | $0 |
| 689d | Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? | BuyNo31¢ | $0 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.