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Polymarket wallet 0x97b6280e7e17fe11a24050fe46c3aed06a19f865 · on Polymarket since Jan 9, 2026 · also shown as Willing-Gold
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +32% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 282d | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ | $1 |
| 284d | US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | BuyNo90¢ | $1 |
| 284d | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Israel strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 285d | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31? | BuyNo30¢ | $1 |
| 286d | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? | BuyNo93¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31? | BuyNo76¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyNo83¢ | $1 |
| 286d | Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.