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Polymarket wallet 0x98206c46d962877dba2c06e0b55eac4e0fd44795 · on Polymarket since Dec 3, 2025 · also shown as Assured-Chili
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 52 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $52 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $25 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +31% |
| Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 53 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$39 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 306d | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BuyNo<1¢ | $46 |
| 307d | Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20? | BuyNo74¢ | $39 |
| 309d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17? | BuyNo89¢ | $35 |
| 316d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 316d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 317d | Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $15 |
| 317d | China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $52 |
| 319d | Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year? | BuyYes76¢ | $2 |
| 321d | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $25 |
| 321d | Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025? | BuyYes90¢ | $2 |
| 323d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyYes99¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.