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Polymarket wallet 0x9846ead8bfc6de8d9a871fdfb445f7de5da59fab · on Polymarket since Oct 10, 2026 · also shown as Jubilant-Casement-Will
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5,966 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $274 | −$36 −11% |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 2,918 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $137 | −$7 −4.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 18¢ | $4 | −$1 −13% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $140 |
| 3d | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BuyNo5¢ | $144 |
| 6d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes20¢ | $5 |
| 6d | Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $174 |
| 7d | Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.