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Polymarket wallet 0x98590cc9b5ef84280fc63b0f6a2f44021f4462cb · on Polymarket since Mar 16, 2026 · also shown as Gripping-Caramel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 108 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $103 | +$11 +12% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 143 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 174d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SellNo>99¢ | $2 |
| 194d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BuyNo82¢ | $2 |
| 202d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SellYes>99¢ | $2 |
| 206d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyYes55¢ | $1 |
| 217d | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BuyYes26¢ | $1 |
| 218d | Will the South Australian Labor Party win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 220d | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 221d | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting? | SellYes>99¢ | $96 |
| 222d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ | $92 |
| 222d | Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting? | BuyYes78¢ | $75 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.