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Polymarket wallet 0x98740c8730445b45b6084c321c020f77ff909167 · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2026 · also shown as Careless-Personnel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,500 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$165 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 620 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,452 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Devils vs. OilersSettled - ready to redeem | Oilers | 200 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$123 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.