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Polymarket wallet 0x9918ef5c7ab54ca53dd994f81230c25406edd0f8 · on Polymarket since Oct 26, 2024 · also shown as Afraid-Wake
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 66 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 88 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.35-1.40°C?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 109 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 526 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 145 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 687d | Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6? | BuyNo54¢ | $5 |
| 687d | Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6? | BuyNo54¢ | $20 |
| 687d | Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6? | BuyNo52¢ | $10 |
| 715d | 2024 November hottest on record? | BuyNo62¢ | $30 |
| 716d | Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.35-1.40°C? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 716d | Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024? | BuyYes21¢ | $30 |
| 716d | Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024? | BuyYes2¢ | $10 |
| 716d | Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024? | SellYes10¢ | $115 |
| 720d | Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024? | BuyYes13¢ | $107 |
| 721d | Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024? | BuyYes13¢ | $40 |
| 722d | Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? | BuyYes11¢ | $10 |
| 723d | 2024 October hottest on record? | SellNo68¢ | $141 |
| 726d | 2024 October hottest on record? | BuyNo48¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.