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Polymarket wallet 0x9a9747db09389a6c6a2caa39a29040fcfca124da · on Polymarket since Jan 15, 2025 · also shown as Lumbering-Equation
Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the mouth
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 17h | Yes | 324 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $308 | +$8 +2.6% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 347 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $307 | +$20 +7.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 7d | Yes | 200 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $163 | −$9 −5.2% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 148 | 68¢ → 64¢ | $95 | −$5 −5.4% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.