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Polymarket wallet 0x9c5679391515adcfd9ec212bddadf7650331f6d0 · on Polymarket since Dec 22, 2025 · also shown as Sturdy-Folk
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 263 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 556 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 474 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 29 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 284d | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $53 |
| 292d | US strike on Cuba by January 31? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 292d | US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $20 |
| 292d | US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $20 |
| 292d | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BuyYes16¢ | $10 |
| 293d | Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? | BuyYes35¢ | $10 |
| 299d | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in December? | BuyYes3¢ | $15 |
| 299d | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes3¢ | $15 |
| 305d | Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025? | SellNo3¢ | $16 |
| 305d | Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025? | BuyNo6¢ | $10 |
| 306d | Fanduel launches prediction markets with CME by end of 2025? | BuyNo24¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.