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Polymarket wallet 0x9c92c4af9fe16d3f65a7483d6a2497d44cc27bfb · on Polymarket since Dec 11, 2021 · also shown as Stark-Independence
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,094 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,049 −100% |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,494 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$574 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157d | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BuyYes15¢ | $151 |
| 157d | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BuyYes17¢ | $443 |
| 195d | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BuyNo79¢ | $4,049 |
| 198d | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | BuyYes97¢ | $3,909 |
| 198d | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | SellNo74¢ | $3,609 |
| 198d | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | BuyNo87¢ | $4,145 |
| 198d | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | BuyNo73¢ | $73 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.