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Polymarket wallet 0x9d98916baa1ea39ab41bc2c2e8463ffb495e005a · on Polymarket since Jan 4, 2026 · also shown as Internal-Opening
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $26 | +$2 +8.7% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 232d | US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026? | BuyYes52¢ | $3 |
| 232d | Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SellNo31¢ | $3 |
| 238d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo78¢ | $20 |
| 238d | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | SellNo98¢ | $20 |
| 241d | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BuyNo92¢ | $24 |
| 241d | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BuyNo77¢ | $15 |
| 241d | Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | SellNo84¢ | $39 |
| 286d | Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | BuyNo63¢ | $29 |
| 286d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SellYes30¢ | $29 |
| 286d | Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo52¢ | $5 |
| 286d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes31¢ | $30 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.