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| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31? | SellYes<1¢ | $31 |
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31? | SellYes2¢ | $230 |
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | SellYes17¢ | $3,130 |
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | BuyYes28¢ | $549 |
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $2,901 |
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | BuyYes28¢ | $437 |
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $39 |
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | BuyYes28¢ | $13 |
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $22 |
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $4 |
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | BuyYes25¢ | $21 |
| 153d | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? | BuyYes24¢ | $3,500 |
| 236d | Khamenei seen in public by March 1? | SellNo97¢ | $3,506 |
| 236d | Khamenei seen in public by March 1? | BuyNo99¢ | $3,568 |
| 239d | US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | BuyYes28¢ | $999 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.