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Polymarket wallet 0x9f1b32bff086c6b27355d66112b245a55603251a · on Polymarket since Jan 9, 2025 · also shown as Deserted-Encouragement
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +65% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8 | 13¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −83% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6 | 17¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −86% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 44 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 272d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $1 |
| 278d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20? | BuyDown68¢ | $1 |
| 278d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20? | SellUp32¢ | $0 |
| 279d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 279d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10AM ET | BuyUp63¢ | $1 |
| 279d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyDown2¢ | $1 |
| 280d | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BuyYes61¢ | $1 |
| 280d | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BuyYes17¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.