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Polymarket wallet 0xa0240325165d51fd458bc969e02c1a9d8ce946f1 · on Polymarket since Mar 1, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 69 | 14¢ → 8¢ | $5 | −$5 −48% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 53 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 118 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 190d | Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | BuyYes14¢ | $10 |
| 190d | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 190d | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 501d | Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before July? | BuyYes14¢ | $7 |
| 600d | Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year? | BuyNo19¢ | $10 |
| 600d | Elon out of Trump administration in 2025? | BuyYes36¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.