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Polymarket wallet 0xa0946c0881c8a027699879d5dc62a1531c1c0719 · on Polymarket since Sep 3, 2024 · also shown as Fresh-Constraint
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?Settled - ready to redeem | $4000 | 50 | 40¢ → 100¢ | $50 | +$30 +150% |
| Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Iran strike on US military before November?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on September 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 114 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,276 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$150 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 833 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 748d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | SellYes79¢ | $144 |
| 752d | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyYes13¢ | $10 |
| 752d | Iran strike on US military before November? | BuyYes14¢ | $10 |
| 752d | Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | BuyNo6¢ | $10 |
| 763d | Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first? | Buy$400040¢ | $20 |
| 763d | Ethereum above $2,500 on September 27? | BuyNo44¢ | $50 |
| 780d | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | BuyYes12¢ | $100 |
| 780d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes55¢ | $100 |
| 780d | Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 780d | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting? | BuyYes4¢ | $150 |
| 780d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.