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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661d |  EzMoneySafeBets | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,709 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 661d |  Car12 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $36,642 | +$3,974 +11% | 4 |
| 661d |  vocifer3 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $51,487 | +$139 +0.3% | 4 |
| 662d |  HoshinoAI | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,287 | +$37 +0.4% | 4 |
| 662d | Saam47 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,819 | −$19 −0.5% | — |
| 663d | 1mperator17 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,853 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 664d | UglyJoe | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,456 | −$20 −0.8% | — |
| 665d |  CryptioMan | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 |
| 665d |  noreasapa | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,488 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 666d | Whaletrader | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,601 | −$290 −1.0% | — |
| 666d | Nahhhhhh | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,174 | −$56 −0.9% | — |
| 666d | erik50 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | −$14 −0.9% | — |
| 666d | vvincentt | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,536 | −$41 −0.9% | — |
| 668d |  TheKinginYellow3 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,569 | −$455 −8.2% | — |
| 668d | jungeto | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,031 | −$70 −1.4% | — |
| 668d | jungeto | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,133 | +$29 +0.7% | 4 |
| 669d | zzz7 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,430 | −$40 −1.6% | — |
| 669d | 4kant23 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,546 | −$30 −1.9% | — |
| 669d | xA73582F6c6B942BDE38149e43A215194485Db4232 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$247 +3.1% | 4 |
| 670d |  ADudeEgg | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,103 | −$124 −2.0% | — |
| 670d | TheBoyBilly...2 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,386 | −$196 −3.1% | — |
| 670d | Fkthiscap | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellYes2¢ → 0¢ | $2,005 | +$2,005 +100% | — |
| 671d |  Long-Dong-Silver | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,272 | −$39 −3.1% | — |
| 671d | Long-Dong-Silver | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$29 +2.3% | 4 |
| 671d |  Wickier2 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,739 | −$262 −5.5% | — |
| 671d |  Coram_Deo9 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $20,128 | +$537 +2.7% | 4 |
| 672d | EscalateFund2 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,833 | −$167 −3.5% | — |
| 673d | x7dizmkf13 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $53,974 | −$3,194 −5.9% | — |
| 673d |  SteamRollerPennies | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,201 | −$112 −3.5% | — |
| 673d |  trumpetplayer | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,634 | −$176 −3.1% | — |
| 674d | LesediLaRona | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,947 | −$370 −2.9% | — |
| 674d | TheBoyBilly... | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | +$57 +3.7% | 4 |
| 677d | Pastel-Dozen2 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,646 | −$203 −4.4% | — |
| 677d | olih_ - 24415 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | +$60 +4.4% | 4 |
| 678d |  Trashbag4 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $39,385 | +$2,175 +5.5% | 4 |
| 678d | 4kant23 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$75 +5.0% | 4 |
| 678d | DenizKilic3 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $8,664 | −$8,664 −100% | 20 |
| 678d | goldingboy3 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $15,045 | +$727 +4.8% | 4 |
| 678d | vvincentt2 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,316 | +$261 +6.1% | 4 |
| 678d | TheKinginYellow3 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $7,174 | +$1,126 +16% | 4 |
| 679d | zzz7 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$63 +4.2% | 4 |
| 680d | etumity-716 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$60 +5.3% | 4 |
| 680d | Bomzhik10 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $13,539 | −$13,539 −100% | 24 |
| 680d |  ARudeEgg | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,009 | −$218 −3.6% | — |
| 682d | 1mperator17 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,795 | +$69 +3.8% | 4 |
| 682d | premiumpaper | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,748 | −$169 −4.5% | — |
| 682d |  AndyFran | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,680 | +$90 +3.4% | 4 |
| 682d | Nanochad | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | −$53 −5.1% | — |
| 683d | HanSolo24 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,725 | −$268 −4.7% | — |
| 683d | olih_ - 24415 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | −$43 −4.1% | — |
| 684d | LISR007 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$34 +3.4% | 4 |
| 684d | 0x4e25…d7a73 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,050 | +$292 +4.1% | 4 |
| 686d | OlehSt | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | −$50 −4.1% | — |
| 687d |  ToadLord | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 687d | OlehSt | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$52 +4.2% | 4 |
| 689d | JesusIsLord184 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $1,049 | −$1,049 −100% | 4 |
| 689d | David2522 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,340 | +$136 +5.8% | 4 |
| 689d | KIMCHI | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | −$72 −6.4% | — |
| 690d | marv777 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$77 −7.5% | — |
| 690d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly3 fills | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,575 | −$517 −7.9% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a nuclear weapon is detonated anywhere in the world between July 1, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market's resolution, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on the planet Earth will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution. This includes offensive usages, nuclear tests, and accidental detonations. Use/launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to detonate, a fake weapon that never detonates, or a dirty bomb that distributes radioactive material by means of a conventional explosion are not sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution of this market. Only a successful nuclear detonation will result in a "Yes" resolution. This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a nuclear detonation is confirmed by a preponderance of credible reporting. For the purpose of this market's resolution, determination as to whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.